Currency Correlation

See which pairs move together and where your hidden risk is.

  • Latest data: September 18, 2026
  • Source: European Central Bank

Correlation Matrix (last 3 Months)

Each cell shows the correlation between two pairs; green means they move together, red means opposite directions.

-10+1
TogetherOpposite
EUR
USD
GBP
USD
USD
JPY
USD
CHF
USD
CAD
AUD
USD
NZD
USD
0.88-0.46-0.89-0.720.680.74
0.88-0.40-0.81-0.670.620.70
-0.46-0.400.490.42-0.28-0.37
-0.89-0.810.490.74-0.57-0.72
-0.72-0.670.420.74-0.54-0.70
0.680.62-0.28-0.57-0.540.73
0.740.70-0.37-0.72-0.700.73

Tap any pair name to see its correlation with every symbol across all timeframes.

Explore a Pair

Correlation of the selected pair with every other pair across all timeframes.

Strongest positive correlation
GBP/USD+0.88NZD/USD+0.74AUD/USD+0.68

EUR/USD and GBP/USD have a ⁦+0.88⁩ correlation; trading both in the same direction (e.g. buying both) is almost like doubling the size of one trade.

Strongest negative correlation
USD/CHF-0.89USD/CAD-0.72

EUR/USD and USD/CHF have a ⁦-0.89⁩ correlation; buying one and selling the other effectively stacks the same risk.

Good for diversification
AUD/JPY-0.02EUR/GBP+0.06GBP/JPY+0.06

AUD/JPY moves almost independently of EUR/USD; combining them spreads your total account risk.

Pair1 Month3 Months6 Months1 YearStatus (3 Months)
GBP/USD+0.86+0.88+0.90+0.84
Very strong positive
NZD/USD+0.77+0.74+0.80+0.74
Strong positive
AUD/USD+0.62+0.68+0.77+0.70
Strong positive
EUR/AUD+0.13+0.19-0.11-0.01
No meaningful correlation
EUR/JPY-0.17+0.08+0.22+0.11
No meaningful correlation
GBP/JPY-0.24+0.06+0.22+0.06
No meaningful correlation
EUR/GBP+0.36+0.06-0.05+0.07
No meaningful correlationStrengthening
AUD/JPY-0.22-0.02+0.24+0.08
No meaningful correlation
CAD/JPY-0.13-0.10-0.14-0.26
No meaningful correlation
GBP/CHF-0.66-0.28-0.21-0.20
Weak negativeStrengthening
EUR/CHF-0.63-0.29-0.28-0.21
Weak negativeStrengthening
AUD/NZD-0.44-0.30-0.21-0.13
Weak negativeStrengthening
USD/JPY-0.54-0.46-0.48-0.58
Moderate negative
USD/CAD-0.82-0.72-0.66-0.62
Strong negative
USD/CHF-0.91-0.89-0.89-0.89
Very strong negative

“Strengthening” or “weakening” means the correlation over the last month differs noticeably from the last year.

EUR/USD vs USD/CHF Correlation Over Time

One-month (22 trading days) rolling correlation over the last year, showing how stable the relationship has been.

Current
-0.91
1-year average
-0.88
Lowest
-0.96
Highest
-0.80
Oct 25Feb 26May 26Sep 26

The green and red bands mark strong correlation (above 0.6 or below -0.6). Move over or tap the chart to see each day's value.

Check My Open Trades' Risk

Enter your open or planned trades to calculate their real combined risk using the last 3 Months correlations.

%
%

Risk per trade = % of the account lost if the stop-loss is hit.

%
To compare against your prop challenge rules.
Worst case
2%
Effective risk
1.94%
Diversification
10/100

An effective risk of 1.94% means your trades together behave roughly like a single trade with that risk; if they were fully independent it would be 1.41%.

Even if every stop-loss is hit (2%), you stay within the 5% daily loss limit.
EUR/USD (Buy) and GBP/USD (Buy) with a ⁦+0.88⁩ correlation effectively move together; the risk of these two trades adds up.
Net risk per currency

Your largest risk is on USD (⁦-2%⁩). Positive means you profit if the currency strengthens; negative means you profit if it weakens.

USD
-2%
EUR
+1%
GBP
+1%

This is an approximate analysis based on daily-return correlations and each trade's risk; in market stress, correlations can change suddenly.

Currency Strength

Which currencies strengthened or weakened against the other majors: each currency's average % change against the other 7.

1
JPY
Japanese Yen
+2.21%
2
USD
US Dollar
+1.23%
3
AUD
Australian Dollar
+1.14%
4
CAD
Canadian Dollar
-0.02%
5
EUR
Euro
-0.10%
6
GBP
British Pound
-0.61%
7
CHF
Swiss Franc
-0.98%
8
NZD
New Zealand Dollar
-2.79%
Strongest currency
JPY
+2.21%
Weakest currency
NZD
-2.79%
Biggest strength gap
NZD/JPYDown

Over the last 1 Month, JPY was the strongest and NZD the weakest currency, so NZD/JPY had the strongest trend.

Currency strength describes past market moves and isn't a trading signal; it's calculated from daily reference rates.

What Is Currency Correlation?

Currency correlation shows how closely two pairs move together. It ranges from -1 to +1: close to +1 means they usually move in the same direction, close to -1 means they move in opposite directions, and close to zero means there's no meaningful relationship.

This tool calculates Pearson correlation on the daily returns of the European Central Bank's reference rates, which is more reliable for risk management than comparing raw prices.

For prop traders, correlation is a hidden source of risk: several trades on correlated pairs can lose together on a single market move and breach the challenge's daily loss limit.

How to Read the Numbers

+0.80 … +1.00Very strong, same direction; almost one trade
+0.60 … +0.79Strong, same direction
±0.40 … ±0.59Moderate relationship
-0.39 … +0.39Weak or no relationship
-0.60 … -0.79Strong, opposite direction
-0.80 … -1.00Very strong, opposite direction; near mirror images

Know Your Hidden Risk

Buying EUR/USD and GBP/USD with 1% risk each is effectively close to 2% risk on the US dollar's move.

Consider Trade Direction

Negative correlation with opposite trades (e.g. buying EUR/USD and selling USD/CHF) behaves like positive correlation and stacks risk.

Correlation Isn't Fixed

Correlations shift with monetary policy and market conditions; always compare short-term and long-term timeframes.

Build Real Diversification

To lower total account risk, pick pairs with correlation near zero so one event doesn't hit all your trades at once.

Data comes from the European Central Bank's daily reference rates (via Frankfurter) and refreshes every few hours. Past correlation doesn't guarantee future market behavior; this tool is for educational purposes only.

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